Estimation of State-Dependent Jump Activity and Drift for Markovian Semimartingales


Journal article


Fabian Mies
Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, vol. 210, 2021, pp. 114-140


arXiv
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APA   Click to copy
Mies, F. (2021). Estimation of State-Dependent Jump Activity and Drift for Markovian Semimartingales. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 210, 114–140. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jspi.2020.04.009


Chicago/Turabian   Click to copy
Mies, Fabian. “Estimation of State-Dependent Jump Activity and Drift for Markovian Semimartingales.” Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 210 (2021): 114–140.


MLA   Click to copy
Mies, Fabian. “Estimation of State-Dependent Jump Activity and Drift for Markovian Semimartingales.” Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, vol. 210, 2021, pp. 114–40, doi:10.1016/j.jspi.2020.04.009.


BibTeX   Click to copy

@article{mies2021a,
  title = {Estimation of State-Dependent Jump Activity and Drift for Markovian Semimartingales},
  year = {2021},
  journal = {Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference},
  pages = {114-140},
  volume = {210},
  doi = {10.1016/j.jspi.2020.04.009},
  author = {Mies, Fabian}
}

The jump behavior of an infinitely active Itô semimartingale can be conveniently characterized by a jump activity index of Blumenthal-Getoor type, typically assumed to be constant in time. We study Markovian semimartingales with a non-constant, state-dependent jump activity index and a non-vanishing continuous diffusion component. A nonparametric estimator for the functional jump activity index is proposed and shown to be asymptotically normal under combined high-frequency and long-time-span asymptotics. Furthermore, we propose a nonparametric drift estimator which is robust to symmetric jumps of infinite variance and infinite variation, and which attains the same asymptotic variance as for a continuous diffusion process. Simulations demonstrate the finite sample behavior of our proposed estimators. The mathematical results are based on a novel uniform bound on the Markov generator of the jump diffusion. 

Keywords:  infinite activity; drift estimation; nonparametric inference; high-frequency asymptotics; infinite variance 

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